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What Are Home Prices Doing in Phoenix Right Now in September 2026 Compared to a Year Ago?

By Trevor Halpern

Halpern Residential at eXp Realty

September 3, 2026 · 11 min read

If you are wondering what home prices are doing in Phoenix right now in September 2026 compared to a year ago, the short answer is that prices have moved upward modestly, inventory has shifted meaningfully, and the market feels noticeably different from the frenzy of prior years. This article breaks down exactly where Phoenix stands today, what changed over the past twelve months, and what it means whether you are buying, selling, or relocating to the Valley.

What Are Home Prices Doing in Phoenix Right Now in September 2026 Compared to a Year Ago?

1. Where Phoenix Home Prices Stand in September 2026

Phoenix home prices in September 2026 are holding in a range that reflects steady but measured appreciation. The median sale price for a single-family home in the City of Phoenix proper is sitting in the low-to-mid $400,000s, with the broader metro median, which includes Scottsdale, Tempe, Chandler, and Gilbert, closer to the mid $450,000s. Those numbers represent meaningful growth from where the market was twelve months ago, but they also reflect a market that has found a more sustainable pace after the sharp swings of 2022 and 2023.

The Median Price Picture

Within the City of Phoenix limits, the median closed sale price for single-family detached homes is approximately $415,000 as of September 2026. That figure covers a wide range of housing stock, from 1960s ranch homes in neighborhoods like Maryvale and Laveen to newer builds near the Loop 303 corridor in the far northwest. Condos and townhomes are tracking lower, with a median closer to $285,000 to $310,000, which continues to attract buyers who want to be inside the city without stretching into the upper price bands.

For context on the broader Valley, Redfin's August 2026 Phoenix market data shows the metro continuing to register positive year-over-year price growth, though the rate of appreciation has moderated compared to the double-digit surges seen in 2021 and early 2022. The market is not correcting; it is consolidating.

Price Per Square Foot Tells a Parallel Story

Price per square foot is often a cleaner comparison tool than median price because it strips out the effect of home size. In Phoenix proper, the median price per square foot for single-family homes is running between $220 and $240 as of September 2026. A year ago, that same metric was closer to $205 to $215, which puts the year-over-year gain at roughly 7 to 10 percent depending on the submarket and price tier. That is a meaningful move, but it is not the 20-plus percent spikes that defined the pandemic-era market.

Newer construction in areas like Surprise, Peoria, and the north Phoenix master-planned communities tends to price at the higher end of that per-square-foot range because buyers are paying for modern floor plans, energy-efficient systems, and community amenities like resort-style pools and walking trails. Resale homes in established neighborhoods can come in below that range, which creates real opportunity for buyers willing to take on cosmetic updates.

2. How Phoenix Home Prices Have Changed Compared to a Year Ago

Comparing September 2026 to September 2025 shows a Phoenix market that appreciated steadily rather than sharply. Twelve months ago, the median single-family sale price in Phoenix was in the high $370,000s to low $380,000s. Today it is closer to $415,000, which represents a year-over-year gain of roughly 9 to 10 percent. That outpaces national appreciation averages and reflects the continued demand pressure from both in-state buyers and people relocating from California, the Pacific Northwest, and the Midwest.

Year-Over-Year Appreciation Across the Valley

The appreciation story is not uniform across the Valley. Areas with newer housing stock and more active builder pipelines, such as Queen Creek and Buckeye, saw some price softening in late 2025 as builder incentives competed with resale inventory. By September 2026, those markets have largely stabilized and are showing modest positive movement again. Established infill areas closer to downtown Phoenix, the arts district near Roosevelt Row, and the Arcadia neighborhood have held value more consistently throughout the cycle.

According to Norada Real Estate's 2026 Phoenix market forecast, the Phoenix metro has been one of the more resilient Sun Belt markets in part because of sustained job growth in semiconductor manufacturing, financial services, and logistics. Intel's Chandler campus expansion, the TSMC facility in north Phoenix near the Loop 303, and continued data center development have all contributed to a demand floor that keeps the housing market from softening the way some other metros have.

Which Price Tiers Moved Most

The entry-level segment, homes priced below $350,000 in Phoenix proper, has seen the most competitive conditions over the past year. Supply at that price point remains tight because new construction cannot be delivered profitably at that price given current land and labor costs. Buyers competing for homes under $350,000 in Phoenix are still encountering multiple-offer situations on well-priced listings, particularly in areas with shorter commutes to major employment nodes like downtown Phoenix, the Camelback corridor, and the Deer Valley business park.

The $500,000 to $750,000 range has seen more balance between buyers and sellers. Homes in that band are spending more days on market than they did in 2022, sellers are more willing to negotiate on closing costs and minor repairs, and buyers have time to conduct thorough due diligence. Above $1 million, the luxury market in Phoenix and Scottsdale has its own dynamics, with a mix of cash buyers and jumbo financing that insulates it somewhat from interest rate fluctuations.

3. Inventory and Days on Market: What the Supply Side Reveals

Inventory levels are one of the clearest signals of where a market is heading, and right now Phoenix is sitting in a more balanced position than it has been in several years. Active listings in the Phoenix metro are up meaningfully compared to September 2025, which gives buyers more choices and reduces the frantic pace of the prior seller's market. However, the market has not tipped into buyer's territory across the board; conditions vary significantly by price range and submarket.

How Much Inventory Is Out There Right Now

As of September 2026, the Phoenix metro has approximately 2.5 to 3 months of supply when measured across all price tiers combined. A balanced market is generally considered to be around 4 to 6 months of supply, so Phoenix is still technically leaning toward sellers, though the gap has narrowed considerably from the sub-one-month supply levels seen at the peak in early 2022. A year ago in September 2025, supply was running closer to 1.8 to 2 months, so the increase in available homes is real and buyer-friendly.

The increase in inventory has come from a combination of sources: some sellers who held off listing during the rate-spike years are finally moving forward, new construction deliveries are adding supply in outer suburbs, and a modest uptick in expired listings suggests that overpriced homes are sitting rather than selling. That last point is useful for buyers to understand: the market is rewarding well-priced, well-presented homes and penalizing wishful pricing.

How Long Homes Are Sitting Before Selling

The median days on market for Phoenix single-family homes in September 2026 is running between 35 and 45 days, depending on the price tier and location. That compares to a median of roughly 50 to 60 days in September 2025, which means well-priced homes are actually moving faster now than they were a year ago. The improvement is partly attributable to mortgage rates, which have pulled back from their late 2025 highs and brought more buyers back into active search mode. When rates dipped earlier in 2026, buyer demand picked up noticeably, and that momentum has carried into the fall.

Homes that are updated, priced correctly from day one, and located within 20 to 30 minutes of major employment centers are still generating strong interest within the first two weeks of listing. Properties that need significant work or are priced above comparable sales are sitting for 60 to 90 days and often require price reductions before going under contract.

4. Neighborhood-Level Price Trends Across Phoenix

Phoenix covers over 500 square miles, so city-wide averages can obscure what is happening in specific pockets. Understanding price trends at the neighborhood level is where the real actionable insight lives, whether you are trying to find value as a buyer or price your home correctly as a seller.

Central and Midtown Phoenix

The central corridor running from downtown Phoenix through Midtown and up toward Camelback Road has seen consistent price support over the past year. Homes in the Willo Historic District, Encanto, and the areas surrounding the Phoenix Art Museum and the Heard Museum tend to be older bungalows and ranch-style homes from the 1940s through 1970s, many of them on generous lots. Median prices in these central neighborhoods are running from $450,000 to $600,000 or higher for fully renovated properties, and the year-over-year appreciation has been in the 8 to 12 percent range. The proximity to light rail, the walkable stretches of Central Avenue, and the density of restaurants and cultural venues along 7th Street and 7th Avenue all contribute to sustained demand.

North Phoenix and the Desert Ridge Corridor

North Phoenix, anchored by the Desert Ridge Marketplace and extending toward the Anthem master-planned community, has seen price growth fueled by newer housing stock and access to employment along the Loop 101 and I-17 corridors. Homes in the 85054 and 85085 zip codes are trading in the $500,000 to $750,000 range for four-bedroom, three-bathroom homes built in the 2000s and 2010s. A year ago those same homes were closing closer to $460,000 to $700,000, representing a solid year-over-year gain. The TSMC semiconductor plant under construction nearby has added a layer of long-term demand confidence to this corridor that was not present two years ago.

West Phoenix and Laveen

West Phoenix and the Laveen area have historically offered some of the most accessible price points within the city limits, and that remains true in September 2026. Median prices in Laveen are running from roughly $340,000 to $420,000 for single-family homes, with a mix of newer subdivisions built in the 2010s and some older stock closer to the 35th Avenue and Baseline Road corridors. Year-over-year appreciation in this submarket has been roughly 6 to 8 percent, slightly below the city average, which reflects the additional supply added by ongoing new construction in the area. For buyers who need more square footage for their dollar and are comfortable with a 20 to 30 minute commute to central Phoenix, this part of the city offers genuine value.

5. What These Trends Mean for Buyers and Sellers Right Now

The September 2026 Phoenix market rewards preparation and precision on both sides of a transaction. Buyers have more breathing room than they did two or three years ago, but they are not in a position to lowball on well-priced properties. Sellers who price accurately and present their homes well are still closing within a reasonable timeframe and at strong values. The days of throwing any listing on the market and watching offers flood in are gone, but that does not mean the market is soft.

If You Are Buying in Phoenix This Fall

Buyers entering the Phoenix market in September 2026 have the advantage of more inventory, less competition at most price points, and sellers who are more willing to negotiate on terms than they were a year ago. Getting pre-approved before you start touring homes is still essential, particularly because well-priced properties in the entry-level and mid-range tiers can still move quickly. Understanding which neighborhoods align with your commute, your price range, and the type of housing stock you want requires local knowledge that goes beyond what any algorithm can provide.

If you are relocating to Phoenix from out of state, the research process is even more involved. Understanding the difference between a home in Arcadia versus a home in Ahwatukee, or the commute implications of choosing north Scottsdale versus south Tempe, takes boots-on-the-ground experience. Trevor Halpern's guide to relocating to Phoenix walks through exactly how to approach that process.

If You Are Selling in Phoenix This Fall

Sellers in September 2026 are operating in a market where pricing strategy matters more than it has in years. Overpricing by even 3 to 5 percent above comparable sales can push your home into the category of listings that sit and accumulate days on market, which in turn signals to buyers that something may be wrong. The data from the past twelve months is clear: homes that are priced at or slightly below the most recent comparable sales are generating the most competitive offers and closing at or above list price.

Presentation also matters more in this market. Buyers have enough options that they can pass on a home that needs obvious work and find something similar that is move-in ready. Professional photography, clean staging, and addressing deferred maintenance before listing are not optional extras; they are baseline expectations for getting top dollar in the current Phoenix market.

Choosing the right agent to represent you in this environment is one of the most consequential decisions you will make. If you are evaluating your options, the guide on what questions to ask when interviewing a Phoenix real estate agent is a practical starting point.

FAQ

Are Phoenix home prices going up or down in September 2026?

Phoenix home prices are up compared to a year ago in September 2025, with the median single-family sale price in the city running approximately 9 to 10 percent higher than it was twelve months earlier. The rate of appreciation has slowed considerably from the double-digit annual gains of 2021 and 2022, but the direction remains positive. Inventory has increased, which has taken some urgency out of the market for buyers, but sustained job growth in sectors like semiconductor manufacturing and financial services continues to support demand. The market is best described as moderating rather than declining.

What is the median home price in Phoenix right now?

As of September 2026, the median sale price for a single-family home in the City of Phoenix is approximately $415,000. Condos and townhomes are tracking lower, with a median in the $285,000 to $310,000 range. The broader Phoenix metro median, which includes surrounding cities like Scottsdale, Tempe, Chandler, and Gilbert, is closer to the mid $450,000s. These figures vary significantly by neighborhood, price tier, and housing type, so it is important to look at comparable sales in the specific submarket you are interested in rather than relying solely on city-wide averages.

Is it a good time to buy or sell a home in Phoenix in fall 2026?

Both buyers and sellers can find favorable conditions in the Phoenix market this fall, though for different reasons. Buyers have access to more inventory than they did a year ago, sellers are more willing to negotiate on terms, and mortgage rates have pulled back from their late 2025 peaks, improving purchasing power. Sellers are still closing at strong prices, particularly for well-priced and well-presented homes, though the days of automatic bidding wars on every listing are behind us. The key for both sides is working with an agent who has current, granular knowledge of specific Phoenix submarkets, because conditions vary considerably from one neighborhood to the next.

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TREVOR HALPERN

Halpern Residential at eXp Realty

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trevor@halpernresidential.com

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